Trang chủ > KHO BÀI VIẾT > Các phương châm phân bổ đầu tư cho các nhà đầu tư chứng khoán mạnh dạn theo Benjamin Graham (Phần 2)
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By: Sơn Long KHO BÀI VIẾT 6.623 Bình luận

Các phương châm phân bổ đầu tư cho các nhà đầu tư chứng khoán mạnh dạn theo Benjamin Graham (Phần 2)

Để đạt được những kết quả đầu tư cao hơn trung bình sau một khoảng thời gian dài cần có phương châm lựa chọn  hoặc hành động với hai phẩm chất sau:

(1) Nó phải vượt qua được các phép kiểm định khách quan hoặc hợp lý về độ vững chắc nền tảng.

(2) nó phải khác với phương châm mà hầu hết các nhà đầu tư, đầu cơ đang tiến hành hiện nay.

Trong bài viết này chúng tôi sẽ viết về: “Các gợi ý về các lĩnh vực đầu tư cho các nhà đầu tư chứng khoán mạnh bạo theo Benjamin Graham”.

  • Công ty lớn nhưng ít được ưa chuộng

Nếu cho rằng thị trường đang đánh giá quá cao những cổ phiếu thể hiện sự tăng trưởng xuất sắc, thì cũng hợp lý khi nói rằng thị trường sẽ đánh giá thấp, chưa tương xứng với cổ phiếu của các công ty chưa được ưa chuộng vì những diễn biến bất lợi mang tính tạm thời. Điều này được coi là quy luật cơ bản của thị trường chứng khoán, nó gợi ra một phương pháp đầu tư hứa hẹn và đảm bảo cả sự thận trọng.

Yêu cầu chính ở đây là nhà đầu tư mạnh bạo cần tập trung vào các công ty lớn đang trong quá trình trải qua thời kì ít được ưa chuộng. Các công ty lớn có lợi thế gấp đôi so với các công ty khác. Thứ nhất, chúng có sức mạnh về vốn và trí não để để vượt qua sự bất lợi và trở lại với nền tảng lợi tức thỏa đáng. Thứ hai, thị trường luôn có phản ứng hợp lý đối với bất kể tiến bộ nào được thể hiện.

Dưới đây, chúng tôi sẽ lấy một ví dụ về cổ phiếu của công ty CPCT Vĩnh Hoàn để làm rõ vấn đề lý thuyết trên.

  • Việc mua các chứng khoán phát hành giá hời

Chúng tôi định nghĩa một phát hành giá hời là một phát hành mà dựa vào các kết quả đã được khẳng định qua phân tích, có vẻ đáng giá nhiều hơn so với mức giá bán của nó. Những loại này gồm trái phiếu, cổ phiếu ưu đãi và cổ phiếu phổ thông bán dưới mệnh giá đáng kể.  Thế vấn đề đặt ra là làm thế nào để các nhà đầu tư kiếm lợi nhuận từ chúng?

Có hai phép kiểm định để phát hiện một cổ phiếu có giá hời.

  • Phép kiểm định thứ nhất là bằng phương pháp định giá. Điều này phụ thuộc vào việc ước tính lợi tức tương lai và sau đó nhân với một hệ số phát hành cụ thể. Nếu kết quả ra được giá trị đủ cao hơn giá trị bình thường và nhà đầu tư tin vào phương pháp đang sử dụng thì thì anh ta có thể coi chứng khoán đó là một phát hành giá hời.
  • Phép kiểm định thứ hai là về giá trị doanh nghiệp đối với một người sở hữu nội bộ. Giá này cũng được quyết định chủ yếu bởi lợi tức trong tương lai được kì vọng – mà trong trường hợp đó kết quả có thể giống như phép thử ban đầu. Nhưng trong lần kiểm định thứ hai, sự chú ý hơn sẽ được đặt vào giá trị có thể chuyển hóa thành tiền của các tài sản, sự nhấn mạnh vào tài sản hiện tại tức là vốn lưu động.

Trong thời điểm thấp trong thị trường nói chung, một phần lớn cổ phiếu thường được phát hành với giá hời, nếu đo bằng các tiêu chuẩn này. Nên nhà đầu tư có tầm nhìn xa có thể lựa chọn mua được những loại cổ phiếu tốt và thu về được mức lợi nhuận khá trong tương lai.

Trước những quyết định có nên mua loại cổ phiếu đó hay không nhà đầu tư cần quan tâm sự ổn định về lợi tức của cổ phiếu đó trong vòng nhiều năm. Để chắc chắn rằng không có năm nào lợi tức bị âm hoặc quy mô và sức mạnh tài chính đủ để đối mặt với các khả năng có thể xảy ra bất lợi trong tương lai. Một số lý do khiến giá cổ phiếu giảm giá tới mức thấp là công ty bị lãng quên hoặc kém được ưa chuộng kéo dài trong một thời gian dài. Lý do thứ hai có thể là do thị trường đã không nhìn nhận được toàn cảnh lời lãi thực sự của cổ phiếu .

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